The supposedly surprising election result was fully predicted by not a few; me included. It was obvious there would be the usual late swing back to the incumbent party, and this time markedly so because of the 'shy Tory' phenomenon opaque to polling in a now virulent 'PC'-totalitarian climate, with extra late drive from the prospect of a nationalist Scotland wagging the tail of the Liebore donkey – to get the English to pay for socialism for Scotland, when they had not long ducked out of independence because they realised likely they wouldn't be able to afford it.
This is even before you consider the most boring, unconvincing election campaign in history providing no impetus to do other than 'switch off', never mind responding to the lame invite to 'vote for change'. What change? Not Liebore's stuck record of 'not me gov' and rapidly rescinded 'sorries' re the debt, and Red Ed deliberately forgetting to even mention the debt and immigration in that speech. Latterly, the Walking-Dead Ed wouldn't come clean even to pointed direct attacks from the audience in TV hustings.
Everybody well knows Liebore spent way too much, and trying to blame the w(b)ankers for the debt hardly washes when it was Gorgon's taking an axe to bank regulation that led to the 'crash'. Few had twigged that until Ed admitted it and almost said 'sorry' for it. Then they tried clobbering the Cameroonies for not tackling the debt well enough, by claiming that the debt would go down further and quicker if … you spend more. Just who the hell did they think was ever going to buy that piece of inanity apart from their own ideologically blinkered tribesmen or other PPE Oxbridge graduates educated out of any common-sense and into hating 'capitalism'?
Everybody bar the ESN could smell a mile off the giant porkies about the NHS, after Liebore had actually voted against extra spending and had themselves introduced privatisation -- most especially in the PFI travesty whereby we get hospitals built and run by the private sector and the taxpayer gets an extra bill of £100 billion more than it should have cost.
Everybody has seen all too clearly the mass importation of the culturally incongruous low-skilled and worse, deliberately to piss-off and dilute the locals and to make better voting booth fodder.
The truth is that on their record, Liebore had nowhere to go.
What's so revealing about the future of UK politics is that Liebore failed even when four million voters opted not to vote Tawdry but instead for UKIP. The problem Liebore has is that most of these are not disaffected Tawdries but previously non-voters or some of their own core vote so long taken for granted. Ask Ed Balls. A lot of them previously would have voted Liebore, but they've come to understand that Liebore is just a Metropolitan elite sneer fest in which their heads have been put in place of the coconuts in the fairground to chuck Ed's Balls at.
In all those northern rust-belt seats where UKIP polled as much or more than the Tawdries, in many seats the combined vote easily exceeded Liebore's; so, come the next election, what would have been the Tawdry vote will redistribute tactically to UKIP and in more than few spots send Liebore packing. There won't be a resurgence of GlibDems here to re-split the anti-Liebore vote, because their whole point up-north was to be anti-Liebore and relatively anti-establishment. UKIP has now usurped them in that role. Instead, Liebore will be haemorrhaging votes from its Left flank to the growing 'watermelon' tribe of the Greens. Neither will there be much relief from places in the south, because the Tawdries have become themselves so infected with 'identity politics' and other liberal [sic] notions that they've become like the other legacy parties, such that in many ways you can't get the proverbial piece of paper between them. UKIP is almost as much the natural party of protest in the shires as in the industrial cities. UKIP will grow not least as Liebore and the GlibDems shrink.
The future for Liebore is a painful death, and so it bloody well should be.